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Looking ahead - Between now and the All-Star break

In two weeks, the NBA will be focusing on the All-Star Game and the various festivities taking place in Dallas. 

In the eyes of this writer, the NBA has the best All-Star Game of any sport in the world, but when you've got a team that's at the top of the sport like our Cavaliers are, the ASG is just seen as a week-long pit of despair during which we have no opportunity to see our beloved team.

So, we'll just have to suffer during the six days between Cavs games in mid-February.  But wheile we're suffering, what kind of a lead will we be enjoying in the Eastern Conference chase?  And will we still be ahead in the run for the best NBA record?

Let's take a closer look below the fold;

Star-divide

Looking at the schedule, the Cavaliers and Orlando do appear to have the easier routes between now and the break.  But the injuries we've suffered make nothing a guarantee.  Here's the combined schedules for the top six teams in the NBA.  I've laid out my predictions for each individual game.  Let's see what kind of a prognosticator I am.

Cleveland opponents Boston opponents Orlando opponents
L.A. Clippers (20-26) L.A. Lakers (36-11) @ Detroit (15-30)
Memphis (25-20) @ Washington (16-30) Milwaukee (19-25)
Miami (24-22) Miami (24-22) Washington (16-30)
N.Y. Knicks (18-28) New Jersey (4-41) @ Boston (29-15)
New Jersey (4-41) Orlando (31-16) New Orleans (25-21)
Orlando (31-16) @ New Orleans (25-21) @ Chicago (23-22)
@ Cleveland (37-11)

 

Atlanta opponents L.A. Lakers opponents Denver opponents
@Oklahoma City (25-21) @ Boston (29-15) @ San Antonio (27-18)
L.A. Clippers (20-26) @ Memphis (25-20) Sacramento (16-29)
Chicago (23-22) Charlotte (23-22) Phoenix (27-21)
@ Washington (16-30) Denver (31-15) @ L.A. Lakers (36-11)
@ Memphis (25-20) @ Portland (27-21) @ Utah (28-18)
Miami (24-22) San Antonio (27-18) Dallas (30-16)
@ Utah (28-18) San Antonio (27-18)

 

OK, calm down, let me explain some of my picks.  I can see some of you out there are getting upset already.

- The Cavaliers SHOULD go 6-0.  Playing all six games at home is the key.  I'm biased and I admit it.  Orlando has the best shot to knock off the Cavs, mainly due to the absence of Mo Williams.  However, I'm still not convinced that Vince Carter was a comparable replacement for either Alston or Turkoglu.  Both those guys know how to pass the ball, Carter does not.

- The Celtics are healthy AND losing still.  I'm convinced they are still a product of their own hype.  They're going 3-3 til the break.  The Lakers and Magic will beat them in Boston, and New Orleans is 16-5 at home.  I'm calling that upset now.

- Orlando is going to go 5-2.  They will pull off the win in Boston, but will get caught looking ahead to the Cavs when they're in Chicago.  The next night, LeBron will atone for last year's playoffs in front of Charles Barkley's fishstick-loving face.

- Atlanta will go 5-1, playing a relatively easy schedule down the stretch.  But those damn Grizzlies are beasts at home (17-5).

- The Lakers are going to have a spot of trouble and will go 4-3 before the break.  They'll beat the Celtics, but run into problems at Memphis.  Denver will avenge last year's playoffs, and then Utah will stay strong at home (19-6 so far).  The Lakers are not a great road team (13-8), and will show it against the better teams the final week before the break.

- Denver is out to prove they are the team to knock off the Lake show in the West, and they'll go 5-2 before the break.  At San Antonio and at Utah will be problems.  If they can take one of those two, the Lakers might be looking over their shoulders throughout the rest of the season.

If my calls are correct, the standings will look like this;

EASTERN W-L GB WESTERN W-L GB
Cleveland 43-11 - L.A. Lakers 40-14 -
Atlanta 35-17 7 Denver 36-17 3.5
Boston 32-18 9
Orlando 36-18 7

 

Yes, I know that Orlando will technically have a better record than Boston...but division winners get the top 3 seeds, so the Magic would be behind Boston in seeding.

Also, I know that Dallas, San Antonio, and Utah are in the hunt in the West.  This being a blog based on an East team, I focused on that conference more.

Now, let's see how we do!

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he has been in full contact practice for almost a month now…just waiting for the docs to clear him to play

by cavslandrocks on Jan 31, 2010 1:45 AM CST up reply actions  

It’ll be nice to have him back.

by emily522 on Jan 31, 2010 10:52 AM CST up reply actions  

Fine by me

We need the all star break more than any other team right now. The Celtics and the Lakers already finished licking their wounds.

by WaveOcean on Jan 31, 2010 12:55 AM CST reply actions  

KG is definitely NOT ok

by cavslandrocks on Jan 31, 2010 1:47 AM CST up reply actions  

I think and hope you are right on with your picks.

But I am a little concerned that missing Mo and Delonte beyond the all star break will result in trouble for the Cavs.

So I told her," I'll be nicer if you try to be smarter!'..That was a mistake.

by Juannieboy on Jan 31, 2010 10:39 AM CST reply actions  

Leon Powe is a difference maker

One more big body banging on the inside will help offset the loss of Mo and Delonte. So far Shaq has made a difference. He could use another big to help him for awhile.
If Leon can come back after the break I can live with your predictions. I’m liking the job Gibson is doing . We should be alright through this stretch.

Winning is not everything but it sure feels like it sometimes

by lifelongvike on Jan 31, 2010 10:57 AM CST reply actions  

They have

One more big body to help Shaq inside in Darnell. I realize he hasn’t progressed as much as was hoped for-especially turnovers-but not using him, instead of Andy, as an “Enforcer” in the middle when Shaq sits is puzzling. Why would you have one of the best sixth men in the league piling up fouls when you have six perfectly good ones on the bench-especially when you know that when Darnell fouls the opposing player knows he was fouled? This guy loves to bang and bang hard…they should use him

by cavslandrocks on Jan 31, 2010 12:12 PM CST up reply actions  

Great point on darnell

but I think the only thing he does well is foul. Not very good with his defense or offense. Rebounding skills are terrible. Powe gives you everything including being able to face the basket and shoot.
Right now we can spell Shaq with big Z or Varejo. Play LeBron at PF and use Williams or Moon at SF. Moons defense is great and Williams thinks he’s a shooter. Making me believe too. I don’t see Darnell getting much time until he shows some basketball skills. Fouling doesn’t count. We haven’t even needed him against the big teams like Orlando or Lakers yet. That’s why I hold out such great hope for Leon. Added pressure on any team trying to guard LeBron.

Winning is not everything but it sure feels like it sometimes

by lifelongvike on Jan 31, 2010 1:49 PM CST reply actions  

Overall, I agree. My point was that they should use Darnell for what he is good at…sending a message with a very hard, clean foul…Think Boston which has three big men, one who isn’t 100%, one who is Jackson’s size, and one who would get a T for fighting/arguing with the ref if he was fouled HARD

by cavslandrocks on Jan 31, 2010 3:32 PM CST up reply actions  

I agree. That would make good use of him.

Winning is not everything but it sure feels like it sometimes

by lifelongvike on Feb 1, 2010 5:34 AM CST up reply actions  

Gotta love it with the Lakers down five at the half-only 17 points in the second quarter…As much as it pains me to do so, I’m for Boston in this one…Cavs can beat them three straight now that Shaq is playing like Shaq again

by cavslandrocks on Jan 31, 2010 3:48 PM CST reply actions  

I wanted the Lakers. That was an awful final play by Boston. They should’ve driven it to the hoop, not attempted a three.

by emily522 on Jan 31, 2010 5:09 PM CST up reply actions  

agreed

I was saying that very same thing as they took the time out…

by cavslandrocks on Jan 31, 2010 5:15 PM CST up reply actions  

I’m fairly certain that they changed the rule so that while the 3 division winners are automatically in the top FOUR, they do not get the top 3 spots. The 3 division winners and the next best record (kinda like a wild card in baseball) are seeded in the top 4 spots based on record. This was a reaction to Dallas and San Antonio playing each other a couple years in a row in the conference semis despite having the two best records.

by jeffbp on Jan 31, 2010 3:53 PM CST reply actions  

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