We have two games before we face Atlanta..Indiana and at Orlando. Figure we go 1-1. Atlanta has three games... at Washington, Philly, and Chicago. Figure they go 1-2.
So at that point we’re three games behind. We win, we’re two games behind (although we lose the tiebreaker).
Then they’ve got….
@Indiana – L
Detroit – W (maybe)
Boston – W
@Brooklyn – L
Miami – L
Charlotte – L (maybe)
@Milwaukee – tossup
So that’s what…3-7 prior to the last game. 34-47. If they beat Milwaukee, they’ll be 35-47. So we need to be at least 36-46.
So finishing up the season, we have Charlotte, Detroit, @Milwaukee, Boston, and Brooklyn.
We’d be 31-46 after we beat Atlanta. Have to go 5-0 to finish the season, or pray that Atlanta loses an extra game. I like our odds individually in each of those last 5 games. Be a hell of a lot of pressure on this team. A mini-playoff run to end the season. I like that- show us what they’re made of. Of course, all of this assume that we beat Atlanta.
But what about New York?
@Golden State – L
@Utah – L (back to back)
Brooklyn – W
Washington – W (maybe)
@Miami – L
@Toronto – L
Chicago – L
@Brooklyn – L
Toronto – L
So somewhere in the 31-33 win range. They could still make the playoffs, but not if we win 36 games.
So we can lose one game the rest of the season. Lose two, or if the one is Atlanta, and we have to pray for an Atlanta collapse. Lose three, or two if one is Atlanta, and the dream dies. And the scary part is, we’re likely to lose tomorrow.
It’s not quite as impossible to beat Indiana as it sounds. They’ve lost their last four road games. In fact, they’re 4-9 on the road since February 5th, with those 4 wins being Milwaukee, Boston, Philly, and Detroit. And if we win this, it give us a desperately needed cushion, so we don’t have to win all of our last seven.
Cheer hard tomorrow. We’re going to need it.
P.S. With New Orleans winning 5 in a row to pass us, none of the team behind us are going to win more than 29 games. We’re not going to be picking in the top 8 without winning the lottery. So, as a famous coach once said, there’s only one thing left to do: win the whole damn thing.