The off season is just far too fun when the Cavs win the #1 pick. So much to argue about! Today I am focused on why the Cavs are in a better position than almost any other team, and maybe any other team, to land Love- and without sacrificing the #1 selection.
The first question that most people are asking when looking at the Cavs trade assets is some variation of "does Minnesota want Dion/Bennett/TT", but this is the wrong approach. The first point about the Cavs trade assets is that they are all from very recent drafts. Almost every GM in the league will have scouted and analyzed them leading up to those drafts, and they are all going to have their opinions on these players. The second detail is that all of the Cavs picks, except Bennett (and maybe Karasev), have demonstrated, at least to a point, the skills that would have lead them to be drafted in the first place. I am not delusional enough to think that a GM that scouted Waiters two years ago and hated his game and gave no thought to drafting him is going to change his mind based on his play the past two seasons. I am, however, confident that if a GM had his eyes on Dion during that draft and was hoping that he would fall he would be able to justify to himself that optimism from the past and feel confident in his future. The final point is that because all of their assets are on rookie deals they are all very easy to trade, which makes a huge difference in facilitating multi-team trades.
When the Cavs make a pitch to the Wolves for Love they will be doing two things simultaneously. First they will try to sell Minnesota on the talent that they have on hand right now, and step 2 will be reaching out across the league to weigh the value of these young guys. When it comes down to creating a package that will be enticing the Cavs will be able to present a broad range of options and Minnesota will be able to select from not only what the Cavs have but what other teams have offered for our trade chips.
So what? Wont every team in the sweepstakes be doing this? Yes, but the Cavs have the two major advantages, rookie contracts and volume. When GS makes their pitch how many teams will be bidding on Lee's contract? How many will be able to absorb it while also sending something to Minnesota that the Wolves want? Because of their contracts (and the Cavs cap space) any piece the Cavs find an exchange for can be swapped with ease.
The last piece is volume. I could see Minnesota rejecting one or two of the Cavs pieces. They might not think to highly of TT, or they might have though Bennett was a huge reach, or they don't want to wait around for the Memphis pick to become available. What is hard to imagine is having them reject a promising SG, two PF prospects with different games, a super young shooter, a solid and cost controlled backup big man and multiple draft picks. Some portion of that equation will be agreeable as partial compensation for Love. Then it is on Griffin to scour the league finding the missing parts. Perhaps Denver will part with Danilo for Bennett and a pick, or Shumpert peaks their interest, or X, or Y or Q (haha, gotcha).