statistical-analysis Stories - Fear The Sword
Statistical Approach to Formations
As our own malcontentjake and countless others have demonstrated repeatedly, the numerical shorthand for soccer formations which we're all accustomed to (e.g. 4-4-2) is almost completely useless. Whether you have a 'band of 4' defenders or a 'band of 5' is much less important than what those...
2012 MLS Strength of Schedule: The Unbalancing Act
For the last two MLS seasons 'strength of schedule' wasn't really a meaningful concept. With a perfectly balanced schedule, the only differences in schedule strength came from the fact that teams didn't have to play themselves (good for Seattle, bad for Vancouver). But now that the new era of...
Sounders' Bench Has Played Significant Role In Improvement
The Seattle Sounders have been Major League Soccer's best team in the final 15 minutes. They have outscored their opponents 15-4 over that time, with no other team scoring more often nor allowing so few goals. The 11-goal difference is four better than any other team. But we already knew that,...
Depth - A Three Part Story
There's an idea floating out there that since the Seattle Sounders lost to CS Herediano that they aren't a deep team. The concept seems to put forward that a team that doesn't earn points in every competition just doesn't have the bench. Not only is this concept wrong, looking into its refutation...
State of the MLS Run In: 8 Weeks To Go
As the regular season winds down I'm going to be posting a weekly summary of the some of the data and predictions we're generating, which should give you some context going into each week of games. Previous Week Playoff & Trophy Probabilities This is each team's up to date odds of making the...
State of the MLS Run In: 9 Weeks To Go
As the regular season winds down I'm going to be posting a weekly summary of the some of the data and predictions we're generating, which should give you some context going into each week of games. Playoff & Trophy Probabilities This is each team's up to date odds of making the playoffs,...
San Francisco 49ers Statistical Analysis Mailbag: Rookie Head Coaches
The first set of mailbag questions was definitely a varied one, with everything from DontForget's "When are the 49ers gonna win their 6th championship?" to John Hagee's - um, I mean Session9's - "How many of the 49ers players would survive the rapture under the differing Christian theologies?"...
San Francisco 49ers Statistical Analysis Mailbag: The Maiden Voyage
OK, it's the offseason. And even more so than the offseasons of the past 20 years, this offseason is shaping up to be unbelievably boring; well, that is, unbelievably boring to everyone except avid followers of labor law (I'm talking about you, Fooch). So, to help you pass the time between now and...
Poll Time: The Best Article of 2010
As the year 2010 winds down (sidenote: I know, I know; it actually isn't the end of the year for everyone, but hopefully you have tomorrow off anyway), Rob Vollman at Hockey Prospectus has compiled a list of the best stats-centered (or, in Dellow's case, stats guy + great story) articles of the...
The 2010 Big Ten Football Outlook from 1,000 Feet
One of the reasons (although certainly not the only reason) that I spend a lot more time looking at basketball stats than football stats is that advanced basketball stats are so much more elegant. The performance of a basketball team can be neatly summarized by four numbers on each end of the...
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